Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.191692 0.218319 0.246909 0.279844 0.316688 0.356585 0.403008
2025-11-30 0.157701 0.193545 0.234609 0.284961 0.344856 0.413629 0.498378
2025-12-07 0.130851 0.171469 0.220701 0.284399 0.364218 0.460486 0.584891
2025-12-14 0.110823 0.154069 0.209204 0.284014 0.382139 0.505638 0.671886
2025-12-21 0.095585 0.140269 0.199913 0.284383 0.399780 0.550587 0.760991
2025-12-28 0.084769 0.130703 0.194628 0.288723 0.422027 0.602143 0.861472
2026-01-04 0.076762 0.123876 0.192002 0.295863 0.447908 0.659573 0.972985
2026-01-11 0.068803 0.115986 0.186746 0.298262 0.466617 0.707607 1.073827
2026-01-18 0.062847 0.110353 0.184049 0.303805 0.489773 0.762811 1.187607
2026-01-25 0.058297 0.106351 0.183292 0.311922 0.516933 0.825005 1.314703
2026-02-01 0.052473 0.099494 0.177212 0.310881 0.529496 0.865640 1.411350
2026-02-08 0.047350 0.093204 0.171354 0.309473 0.541000 0.904836 1.507388
2026-02-15 0.042584 0.087134 0.165501 0.307922 0.552723 0.946004 1.610546
2026-02-22 0.039665 0.084117 0.164614 0.314680 0.578567 1.011048 1.755170
2026-03-01 0.036080 0.079383 0.160167 0.314726 0.592861 1.057955 1.872868
2026-03-08 0.032886 0.075015 0.155925 0.314674 0.606789 1.104797 1.992698
2026-03-15 0.030123 0.071173 0.152265 0.315285 0.621750 1.153967 2.118718
2026-03-22 0.028128 0.068694 0.150972 0.320165 0.644607 1.217734 2.272601
2026-03-29 0.026631 0.067108 0.151274 0.328068 0.673428 1.293273 2.450375
2026-04-05 0.024746 0.064415 0.149046 0.330739 0.692460 1.352253 2.601746
2026-04-12 0.023343 0.062655 0.148575 0.336844 0.718339 1.424734 2.780391
2026-04-19 0.022289 0.061590 0.149468 0.345764 0.750160 1.509529 2.985000
2026-04-26 0.020511 0.058532 0.145718 0.344628 0.761905 1.557543 3.124452